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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.84+2.20vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.16+2.49vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.37+1.04vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-1.35+1.60vs Predicted
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10Indiana University1.50-6.15vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01-8.09vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.79-6.83vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago-1.73-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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4.49Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.53Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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6.1Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Iowa-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.85Indiana University1.500.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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5.17University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 23.7% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Theodore Cohen | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Miller | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 11.0% | 2.3% |
| Greg Jenson | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 38.2% | 35.9% |
| Najwa Jumali | 14.1% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 27.4% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 24.8% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.