Race 1B

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alison Kent 61.2% 24.4% 9.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Herron 14.6% 25.7% 24.4% 14.9% 10.5% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey Owens 5.4% 10.5% 12.4% 14.8% 15.4% 15.2% 11.3% 8.6% 4.8% 1.6%
Daniel Downie 2.3% 4.5% 8.3% 12.0% 11.0% 12.4% 15.0% 13.3% 12.8% 8.4%
Jonathan Ellefsen 3.4% 6.7% 7.9% 9.9% 11.0% 11.4% 17.1% 13.6% 11.5% 7.5%
Katherine Schneeberger 6.9% 13.4% 16.1% 16.9% 15.3% 12.4% 9.4% 6.2% 2.3% 1.1%
Eric Hansen 1.9% 4.4% 6.9% 8.0% 11.4% 13.6% 12.4% 16.3% 14.6% 10.5%
Russell Melin 1.3% 2.1% 4.5% 4.6% 7.6% 7.6% 9.7% 12.9% 18.4% 31.3%
John Stack 1.3% 3.1% 3.9% 6.1% 6.4% 9.6% 9.8% 13.2% 19.5% 27.1%
Zach Nerod 1.7% 5.2% 6.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.3% 12.5% 14.9% 16.1% 12.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.