Race 2B

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alison Kent 61.1% 23.6% 10.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Ellefsen 3.8% 5.4% 7.8% 8.9% 11.6% 13.9% 14.7% 14.0% 11.7% 8.2%
Zachary Herron 13.8% 25.6% 23.9% 16.3% 10.6% 5.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Zach Nerod 1.8% 4.1% 6.2% 8.2% 10.2% 12.1% 14.3% 16.0% 15.2% 11.9%
Geoffrey Owens 5.9% 11.3% 12.5% 14.6% 15.4% 15.4% 11.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9%
Daniel Downie 3.4% 7.2% 7.0% 9.4% 11.7% 12.6% 13.1% 14.7% 12.9% 8.0%
Katherine Schneeberger 5.7% 12.1% 17.3% 19.1% 15.3% 11.4% 9.7% 5.4% 3.3% 0.7%
Eric Hansen 2.2% 5.1% 7.0% 10.0% 10.6% 12.3% 12.5% 14.9% 13.7% 11.7%
Russell Melin 1.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 5.9% 7.8% 12.3% 12.3% 19.8% 30.0%
John Stack 1.0% 3.0% 4.1% 5.8% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 14.2% 18.3% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.