Race 3B

northwest-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alison Kent 56.4% 26.4% 10.1% 5.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Downie 2.2% 3.4% 4.7% 7.6% 9.5% 10.6% 16.9% 21.0% 24.1%
Zachary Herron 12.5% 21.8% 19.7% 16.6% 13.0% 9.5% 5.2% 1.1% 0.6%
Geoffrey Owens 4.7% 7.2% 12.4% 13.5% 13.9% 15.7% 13.4% 13.0% 6.2%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 4.6% 8.3% 11.1% 12.3% 12.9% 13.9% 13.5% 12.6% 10.8%
Thomas Marowske 8.5% 14.8% 19.1% 17.2% 14.9% 12.4% 6.4% 5.6% 1.1%
Katherine Schneeberger 6.0% 9.2% 12.3% 14.3% 17.3% 14.4% 13.3% 9.1% 4.1%
Zach Nerod 2.2% 3.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.5% 9.9% 15.1% 18.5% 31.7%
Jonathan Ellefsen 2.9% 5.0% 5.2% 7.3% 9.9% 13.1% 16.1% 19.1% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.