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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.31+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.09-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.42-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-0.92-2.53vs Predicted
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10Hope College0.34-5.87vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.88-4.59vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.71-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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5.58University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.87University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Illinois-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.13Hope College0.340.1%1st Place
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6.41Indiana University-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 56.2% | 25.7% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 3.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Zach Nerod | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 31.4% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 4.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Daniel Downie | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 20.8% |
| Thomas Marowske | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 21.9% |
| Zachary Herron | 13.4% | 22.0% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.