← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.13+0.68vs Predicted
-
2Hope College0.34+2.31vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.51-0.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-0.92+0.38vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.29-1.68vs Predicted
-
9University of Iowa-0.42-3.40vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago-0.92-3.50vs Predicted
-
11Indiana University-0.88-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.68University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
-
4.31Hope College0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.86University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of Illinois-0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.32Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.5University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.48Indiana University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 58.8% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Marowske | 6.7% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.9% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 6.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Downie | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 24.4% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 9.9% |
| Moritz Matzner | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.