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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.68vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.51+1.99vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.34+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.92+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.42-1.56vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.29-2.72vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-0.88-2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.09-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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3.99University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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4.17Hope College0.340.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Illinois-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.28Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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6.53Indiana University-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 58.6% | 24.4% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.6% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Marowske | 9.0% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Downie | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 22.7% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 4.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 23.2% |
| Moritz Matzner | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 26.1% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 6.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.