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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+0.68vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.34+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.42+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.51-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.16vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.88-1.60vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.29-3.66vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-0.92-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68University of Minnesota2.130.6%1st Place
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4.31Hope College0.340.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
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3.72University of Michigan0.510.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.4Indiana University-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Illinois-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 57.8% | 24.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Marowske | 6.1% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Davidson | 11.6% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 6.7% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% |
| Moritz Matzner | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 25.4% |
| Daniel Downie | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.