Race 1A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Famiglietti 10.8% 12.5% 15.4% 13.6% 13.6% 11.7% 10.5% 7.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Maria Ayala 3.8% 2.7% 2.1% 6.5% 5.0% 7.0% 10.2% 11.4% 18.0% 26.4% 6.9%
Seth Barrows 12.0% 12.1% 11.9% 13.4% 13.1% 12.1% 10.4% 8.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Taylor Scheuermann 22.8% 21.9% 17.3% 13.6% 10.7% 6.3% 4.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 16.8% 15.9% 14.5% 12.6% 12.5% 10.8% 7.9% 4.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 3.7% 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 8.8% 9.5% 11.0% 14.6% 15.2% 15.1% 3.7%
Dean Nixon 6.5% 5.5% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 10.4% 12.9% 13.5% 14.6% 10.6% 2.3%
Allison Price 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 9.1% 8.9% 10.5% 12.6% 13.8% 12.6% 12.2% 1.4%
Jesus Cansino 4.0% 4.5% 3.9% 4.6% 6.9% 8.8% 9.3% 13.7% 17.2% 20.5% 6.6%
Curtis Woodworth 13.1% 13.2% 14.1% 12.3% 10.5% 12.0% 8.8% 8.6% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 4.1% 9.1% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.