Race 2A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Seth Barrows 11.0% 12.8% 13.4% 12.3% 14.0% 12.6% 10.4% 7.5% 4.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Taylor Scheuermann 27.5% 20.3% 16.9% 11.9% 9.8% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 12.4% 12.7% 11.8% 14.8% 12.8% 13.5% 8.4% 7.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Allison Price 4.6% 4.3% 7.9% 5.8% 9.0% 10.2% 12.9% 14.1% 16.2% 12.0% 3.0%
Sophie Salomon 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 8.1% 7.2% 9.7% 11.5% 13.7% 16.7% 14.4% 2.8%
Daniel Lawless 16.2% 16.1% 14.3% 14.8% 12.4% 9.0% 8.1% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Maria Ayala 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 10.2% 12.8% 17.8% 24.7% 5.8%
Dean Nixon 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 12.9% 13.3% 13.2% 1.8%
Curtis Woodworth 10.6% 13.1% 13.8% 12.7% 11.1% 11.8% 10.0% 8.0% 5.2% 3.2% 0.5%
Jesus Cansino 3.5% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 7.2% 8.3% 10.1% 14.1% 15.4% 20.1% 5.1%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.0% 0.9% 0.2% 1.0% 0.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 7.8% 80.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.