Race 3A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Lawless 13.5% 16.1% 16.0% 12.8% 14.4% 11.1% 7.8% 5.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Taylor Scheuermann 27.0% 19.3% 16.5% 14.3% 9.7% 6.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Jesus Cansino 3.6% 4.3% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 7.9% 9.5% 14.7% 18.4% 21.2% 5.1%
Maria Ayala 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 9.8% 12.4% 19.0% 26.2% 8.2%
Sophie Salomon 4.5% 5.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.1% 10.0% 12.2% 14.3% 14.9% 14.4% 3.3%
Seth Barrows 11.8% 14.0% 11.7% 13.1% 13.7% 12.7% 8.7% 8.0% 3.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Allison Price 5.6% 6.0% 6.8% 9.4% 10.1% 9.4% 13.9% 13.3% 13.4% 9.8% 2.3%
Dean Nixon 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 8.3% 9.0% 12.2% 12.0% 12.6% 14.2% 12.6% 1.6%
Jack Famiglietti 12.0% 13.8% 14.0% 12.5% 13.1% 10.6% 9.8% 7.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Curtis Woodworth 13.5% 11.6% 14.7% 11.9% 11.2% 12.7% 10.3% 7.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.4% 8.4% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.