Race 4A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophie Salomon 3.1% 4.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 9.3% 12.4% 16.8% 16.8% 13.2% 2.9%
Curtis Woodworth 12.1% 11.6% 13.1% 12.8% 12.4% 13.7% 10.2% 7.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Daniel Lawless 14.6% 12.6% 16.3% 14.8% 13.5% 9.8% 8.9% 5.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Jesus Cansino 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 6.3% 5.4% 7.3% 11.5% 14.3% 17.0% 22.5% 4.8%
Allison Price 5.0% 5.7% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 9.0% 11.7% 16.0% 13.2% 11.7% 2.3%
Seth Barrows 11.8% 14.5% 12.7% 11.9% 13.6% 12.4% 9.3% 6.7% 4.3% 2.7% 0.1%
Dean Nixon 6.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 11.1% 10.1% 12.6% 13.7% 13.3% 10.9% 2.2%
Taylor Scheuermann 26.1% 23.3% 15.8% 12.6% 9.1% 7.3% 3.4% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 5.4% 8.1% 9.3% 9.6% 19.0% 25.8% 8.4%
Jack Famiglietti 14.2% 14.2% 14.4% 13.4% 11.7% 12.2% 8.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 9.0% 79.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.