Race 5A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Lawless 18.9% 18.8% 16.0% 15.0% 12.0% 8.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Allison Price 7.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.6% 12.1% 10.3% 12.4% 13.7% 11.1% 7.9% 1.5%
Jesus Cansino 4.7% 5.9% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 9.5% 11.6% 14.5% 15.7% 16.2% 4.2%
Curtis Woodworth 13.5% 14.2% 13.5% 14.7% 14.2% 10.9% 7.7% 6.1% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Jack Famiglietti 17.5% 16.9% 15.7% 13.1% 11.4% 9.4% 7.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Seth Barrows 16.9% 15.5% 15.5% 14.0% 11.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.1% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sophie Salomon 6.9% 6.4% 8.2% 8.3% 9.7% 12.0% 13.2% 11.4% 12.0% 9.7% 2.2%
Maria Ayala 3.9% 4.7% 4.2% 6.1% 7.8% 8.5% 10.6% 12.9% 15.3% 21.0% 5.0%
Dean Nixon 6.6% 6.0% 8.3% 9.3% 8.3% 12.6% 12.0% 13.5% 11.8% 9.2% 2.4%
Bryce Scarfone 3.3% 3.7% 5.3% 4.4% 5.9% 7.2% 9.1% 11.9% 16.7% 24.3% 8.2%
Benjamin Anderson 0.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 1.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 5.2% 8.5% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.