Race 6A

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Lawless 18.0% 19.3% 14.8% 15.8% 14.3% 7.5% 5.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Jack Famiglietti 18.2% 16.2% 15.3% 14.0% 11.1% 9.7% 8.0% 4.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 6.3% 6.6% 8.3% 7.5% 9.5% 11.3% 11.4% 15.3% 12.6% 10.0% 1.2%
Seth Barrows 14.1% 15.1% 14.4% 15.9% 12.3% 10.3% 8.1% 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Jesus Cansino 5.1% 4.5% 7.9% 5.7% 8.8% 9.0% 11.0% 12.0% 16.3% 16.6% 3.1%
Allison Price 5.9% 8.3% 8.5% 8.6% 9.1% 12.6% 12.0% 13.7% 10.3% 8.3% 2.7%
Maria Ayala 4.6% 5.1% 4.8% 5.0% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 12.4% 18.3% 17.4% 5.1%
Sophie Salomon 6.7% 5.9% 8.1% 8.5% 10.8% 9.4% 13.8% 12.9% 11.5% 11.0% 1.4%
Bryce Scarfone 3.4% 4.2% 2.8% 4.9% 4.4% 8.1% 9.5% 12.0% 17.0% 23.7% 10.0%
Curtis Woodworth 17.2% 14.3% 14.6% 13.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 9.7% 76.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.