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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Lawless 19.7% 17.2% 18.1% 12.9% 13.2% 8.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Seth Barrows 17.2% 17.2% 13.2% 14.5% 9.9% 11.2% 6.8% 5.6% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 15.8% 14.8% 15.8% 14.0% 12.3% 9.6% 8.9% 6.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 14.4% 14.2% 12.5% 15.7% 13.2% 10.1% 8.0% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Allison Price 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 7.8% 9.7% 10.7% 12.7% 12.7% 11.6% 9.0% 1.9%
Dean Nixon 6.1% 7.9% 7.9% 8.7% 9.6% 12.5% 10.9% 12.8% 11.6% 9.8% 2.2%
Sophie Salomon 6.7% 6.8% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 11.5% 12.6% 13.6% 12.2% 8.7% 2.3%
Jesus Cansino 5.6% 5.2% 6.1% 7.4% 9.1% 9.7% 12.1% 12.4% 12.6% 17.6% 2.2%
Maria Ayala 3.8% 4.4% 3.7% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 10.9% 12.9% 17.7% 19.6% 7.2%
Bryce Scarfone 3.4% 4.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 7.9% 9.4% 11.3% 18.7% 23.0% 8.2%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 5.0% 9.3% 75.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.