Race 8A

south-points-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Curtis Woodworth 13.9% 14.2% 14.1% 14.8% 12.3% 11.5% 9.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 21.8% 19.1% 15.7% 12.4% 10.6% 9.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 15.4% 15.9% 15.5% 14.1% 11.4% 10.6% 8.7% 4.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Seth Barrows 15.9% 14.5% 14.1% 14.0% 13.5% 10.3% 7.7% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Sophie Salomon 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.5% 8.4% 9.7% 12.5% 12.8% 13.8% 11.4% 2.2%
Allison Price 6.7% 8.1% 8.5% 8.6% 10.1% 11.3% 11.5% 12.8% 12.0% 8.2% 2.2%
Dean Nixon 7.6% 7.3% 9.5% 8.4% 10.7% 11.9% 10.5% 13.2% 11.2% 8.5% 1.2%
Bryce Scarfone 4.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.7% 12.5% 15.6% 23.8% 8.8%
Jesus Cansino 4.5% 5.9% 4.5% 7.1% 8.0% 8.4% 12.1% 13.6% 14.4% 17.0% 4.5%
Benjamin Anderson 0.5% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 5.6% 9.7% 75.6%
Maria Ayala 3.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 7.3% 7.2% 10.5% 13.8% 17.4% 17.7% 5.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.