Race 1B

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hana Zwick 9.7% 12.8% 11.8% 15.9% 16.6% 14.7% 11.0% 5.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 14.5% 12.6% 13.4% 16.3% 14.5% 12.3% 9.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Normington 18.7% 19.0% 18.4% 15.6% 13.1% 8.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 19.8% 19.1% 18.7% 15.6% 12.4% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Butler 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 8.6% 10.4% 12.4% 17.2% 17.0% 13.9% 5.2% 0.6%
Michael Sanandajian 21.6% 20.2% 19.5% 13.6% 10.2% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Easum 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 8.9% 11.1% 18.2% 25.4% 14.0% 4.8%
Chance Sweat 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 4.0% 5.9% 11.7% 35.4% 36.9%
Geoffrey Calderone 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.8% 7.1% 11.0% 14.4% 20.9% 19.4% 9.3% 2.6%
Rafael Melendez 3.6% 3.6% 5.9% 5.1% 8.0% 11.9% 16.7% 18.7% 17.6% 7.5% 1.4%
Katie Dodge 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 7.9% 27.5% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.