Race 2B

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Hana Zwick 9.9% 12.5% 11.8% 15.7% 16.1% 15.5% 10.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 21.8% 21.3% 18.4% 13.0% 11.1% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Normington 18.6% 19.3% 18.2% 14.7% 12.8% 10.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 21.7% 18.4% 17.7% 16.0% 12.2% 8.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Natalie Butler 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 8.0% 9.9% 11.9% 18.3% 17.8% 13.5% 4.4% 0.7%
Peter Hidley 12.7% 13.1% 14.9% 16.7% 14.6% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 3.9% 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 8.7% 11.0% 14.9% 20.8% 18.0% 7.8% 1.4%
Rafael Melendez 3.2% 3.5% 5.3% 5.7% 8.3% 13.0% 16.5% 17.0% 18.3% 8.2% 1.0%
John Easum 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 6.3% 11.8% 19.3% 25.7% 15.8% 5.7%
Katie Dodge 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 2.0% 2.5% 4.9% 8.2% 24.2% 56.0%
Chance Sweat 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.7% 5.0% 11.6% 38.4% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.