Race 3B

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Normington 18.4% 20.3% 19.0% 16.6% 11.6% 8.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 21.9% 21.1% 17.2% 14.7% 11.1% 7.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 10.8% 10.5% 12.7% 16.0% 14.8% 14.5% 13.0% 5.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 21.0% 19.2% 17.6% 15.7% 13.5% 7.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 13.3% 13.6% 15.3% 13.7% 13.8% 13.7% 9.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Natalie Butler 4.0% 4.9% 5.9% 7.3% 10.0% 14.6% 16.6% 17.4% 13.4% 5.1% 0.8%
Geoffrey Calderone 3.5% 4.4% 3.6% 4.9% 9.5% 10.9% 14.4% 21.2% 18.4% 7.9% 1.3%
Rafael Melendez 3.7% 2.9% 5.1% 6.4% 9.2% 11.5% 18.0% 16.4% 17.7% 8.0% 1.1%
John Easum 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 3.6% 4.3% 7.5% 10.3% 19.7% 25.8% 15.5% 5.9%
Katie Dodge 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 3.0% 4.5% 8.2% 24.9% 55.8%
Chance Sweat 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 3.4% 6.0% 11.0% 38.1% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.