Race 5B

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Normington 19.2% 18.5% 18.7% 16.4% 13.5% 8.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 22.2% 20.5% 18.2% 13.5% 12.0% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 11.5% 12.7% 13.7% 15.7% 14.0% 14.7% 10.5% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 21.0% 19.5% 17.5% 16.2% 11.3% 9.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Natalie Butler 4.9% 5.0% 6.0% 8.6% 9.0% 13.7% 14.6% 19.1% 14.1% 4.4% 0.6%
Hana Zwick 11.4% 12.7% 13.1% 15.5% 16.5% 10.3% 11.6% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
John Easum 2.2% 3.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.9% 7.6% 13.3% 17.0% 25.6% 15.1% 3.9%
Geoffrey Calderone 3.0% 2.8% 4.7% 5.3% 8.7% 12.0% 16.4% 16.9% 18.9% 10.1% 1.2%
Rafael Melendez 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 4.2% 7.1% 11.5% 16.4% 20.9% 17.3% 8.1% 2.5%
Chance Sweat 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 2.7% 3.6% 6.8% 10.9% 34.7% 37.5%
Katie Dodge 0.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 8.1% 26.4% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.