Race 6B

south-points-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Normington 19.2% 19.6% 17.4% 16.4% 13.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 12.4% 13.9% 14.3% 16.4% 12.6% 13.6% 10.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 19.0% 19.5% 19.1% 15.9% 11.4% 8.8% 3.8% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 12.5% 10.7% 11.3% 14.0% 17.2% 14.1% 11.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 23.2% 20.3% 17.1% 15.5% 10.8% 7.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Easum 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 5.5% 6.7% 11.2% 16.8% 29.1% 15.6% 4.5%
Chance Sweat 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 6.5% 12.1% 33.8% 37.0%
Katie Dodge 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 2.6% 3.9% 6.9% 27.9% 54.6%
Natalie Butler 4.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 9.2% 14.8% 18.3% 16.0% 13.5% 5.8% 0.8%
Rafael Melendez 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.3% 8.3% 11.6% 15.7% 20.5% 16.4% 8.3% 1.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 2.8% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 8.8% 10.7% 16.2% 20.3% 17.3% 8.1% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.