Race 7B

south-points-spring

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Normington 17.4% 16.6% 17.8% 17.6% 15.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 22.8% 21.3% 18.2% 15.5% 10.9% 7.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 17.0% 17.5% 19.6% 17.3% 12.8% 9.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 2.4% 3.2% 4.9% 4.6% 7.7% 12.8% 19.1% 20.3% 16.3% 7.6% 1.1%
Michael Sanandajian 20.6% 19.3% 17.0% 15.0% 12.7% 8.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 9.9% 12.4% 12.1% 14.2% 17.3% 14.9% 10.9% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 3.8% 3.1% 3.6% 5.6% 7.3% 12.1% 18.7% 18.9% 17.6% 7.5% 1.8%
John Easum 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 3.4% 4.9% 10.2% 12.6% 18.0% 25.9% 15.6% 3.3%
Chance Sweat 0.4% 1.0% 0.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 3.3% 7.4% 10.5% 33.1% 39.7%
Rafael Melendez 3.3% 3.1% 4.4% 5.4% 8.7% 12.2% 17.4% 19.0% 18.3% 6.9% 1.3%
Katie Dodge 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 1.8% 2.6% 5.0% 7.5% 28.5% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.