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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+6.24vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.55+11.25vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+4.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis1.94+3.09vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.52+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-4.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35+1.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.81-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.25-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.46+2.48vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon1.55-3.90vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.69vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-6.01vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.08-5.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley1.62-9.51vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.50vs Predicted
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24University of Texas0.40-5.57vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.61-7.53vs Predicted
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26Western Washington University0.50-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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13.25Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.58Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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8.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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14.08University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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18.48University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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16.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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13.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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15.12Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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18.5University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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18.43University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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17.47California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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18.1Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.