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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+5.52vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.35+9.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.25+3.79vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21+13.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis1.94+3.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81+2.20vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.08+4.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.31+2.75vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.55+0.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.75vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University1.55-2.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.29vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.50+1.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.44+0.69vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.59vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.46-1.16vs Predicted
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21University of Texas0.40-1.72vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California1.52-8.87vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-8.99vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands2.77-16.73vs Predicted
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25University of Southern California2.93-18.33vs Predicted
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26California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-17.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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7.27California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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14.48University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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20.01Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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15.83Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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16.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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12.93Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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18.55Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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18.69University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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17.41California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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18.84University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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19.28University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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13.13University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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14.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.27California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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8.15California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.