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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis1.94+10.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+4.67vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.55+10.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.35+10.42vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+7.92vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.25+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93-0.41vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.63vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.70vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-6.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.31+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.81-3.43vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.52-2.58vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.50+1.15vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.46+0.04vs Predicted
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19University of Texas0.40-0.48vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-3.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.92vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-7.98vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.62-11.29vs Predicted
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25Western Washington University1.08-9.68vs Predicted
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26California State University Monterey Bay0.61-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.12University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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6.67Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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12.92Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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8.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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7.3California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.3California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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14.55University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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18.15Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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18.04University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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18.52University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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18.08University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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14.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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15.32Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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17.73California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 2.9% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.