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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+7.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+4.67vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.54vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+6.18vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.46+8.02vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+2.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.58vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon1.55-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.25-5.17vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.50+1.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.31-2.54vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.40+0.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.82vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego1.81-8.17vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California1.52-8.10vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University1.08-6.80vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University1.55-9.77vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis1.94-12.90vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.61-7.49vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley1.62-13.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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7.22California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.64Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.22California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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18.02University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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13.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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17.95Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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14.46University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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18.6University of Texas0.400.0%1st Place
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18.18University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.83University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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15.2Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.23Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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17.51California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.