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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+4.00vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+12.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.71+4.67vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.47+4.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.79+4.86vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.78+4.21vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.42-0.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.45+2.77vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.14vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.96vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.02+0.66vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.76-3.76vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.74-16.07vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.06-3.06vs Predicted
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21University of Washington1.11-8.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-1.50vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon-0.51-3.39vs Predicted
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24Western Washington University0.58-9.09vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.97vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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16.14California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.71Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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10.9Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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16.14California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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12.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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14.81California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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17.66University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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16.94Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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20.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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19.61University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.91Western Washington University0.580.0%1st Place
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20.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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20.47University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 29.5% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.