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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+14.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+7.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.39vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+8.13vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42+6.02vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33+0.95vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-4.07vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.45+6.77vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.32-3.25vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University1.47-0.11vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-5.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.79+1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-5.99vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.76-0.84vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.58-1.26vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.02+0.71vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.60vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University0.06-1.50vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.39vs Predicted
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21University of Washington1.11-8.43vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon-0.51-1.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.58-3.12vs Predicted
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24University of Southern California0.78-9.98vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-4.97vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.74California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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11.02Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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15.74California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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10.89Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.29California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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14.16University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.74Western Washington University0.580.0%1st Place
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17.71University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.5Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.61California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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20.24University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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19.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.02University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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20.03California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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20.48University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 31.5% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.