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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+5.01vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74-0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.79+8.03vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.47+3.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71+1.55vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42+1.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.93vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.56+4.13vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.25vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.30vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78+0.03vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.76-1.25vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.58-1.30vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-0.02+0.91vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.75vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.97vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.06-3.09vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-0.51-1.07vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley-0.70-1.18vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.91vs Predicted
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24University of Washington1.11-11.77vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-12.79vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.45-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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2.96Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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6.89University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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10.78Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.64Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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15.13California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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16.25California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.7Western Washington University0.580.0%1st Place
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17.91University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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16.25California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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19.97California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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16.91Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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19.93University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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20.82University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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20.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 30.0% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.