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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+5.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.89vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+4.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.33vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+11.08vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.74-3.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.06vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42+2.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71+0.25vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University1.47+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+1.38vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.78+1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.76+0.13vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.43vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.58-2.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.45-2.36vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.11-6.68vs Predicted
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20University of Texas-0.02-2.82vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.56-5.72vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University0.06-4.27vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-2.86vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-0.51-4.23vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-5.00vs Predicted
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26University of California at Berkeley-0.70-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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16.08California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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2.91Stanford University3.740.3%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.84Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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10.79Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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13.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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14.13University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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16.08California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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14.67Western Washington University0.580.0%1st Place
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15.64University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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17.18University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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15.28California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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17.73Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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20.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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19.77University of Oregon-0.510.0%1st Place
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20.0California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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20.48University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 29.7% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kaas | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Swartz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.