Race 1 - triangle-tango | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.9

Avg Position Diff

3

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Mark Thompson & April Lamb

North Carolina State University

0.89

+0.85

vs Predicted
2

Sage Stahmer & Tara Williams

University of North Carolina

-0.11

+0.54

vs Predicted
3

Vincent Miao & Jacob Dooris

Duke University

1.19

-1.39

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.85

Mark Thompson & April Lamb

North Carolina State University

0.89

0.3%

1st Place
2.54

Sage Stahmer & Tara Williams

University of North Carolina

-0.11

0.1%

1st Place
1.61

Vincent Miao & Jacob Dooris

Duke University

1.19

0.5%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3
Mark Thompson	34.6%	46.0%	19.4%
Sage Stahmer	13.8%	18.1%	68.1%
Vincent Miao	51.6%	35.9%	12.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.