Race 2A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 20.5% 16.4% 17.0% 13.0% 10.1% 8.3% 4.6% 4.8% 2.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 8.5% 11.9% 10.1% 11.0% 10.0% 10.9% 9.7% 9.0% 7.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4%
William Crary 13.9% 10.1% 11.9% 10.6% 12.4% 9.9% 10.7% 8.8% 5.4% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Matt Wordell 3.1% 2.5% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 12.8% 14.1% 15.9% 16.7%
Sean Beaulieu 6.1% 7.3% 6.5% 8.0% 7.7% 8.3% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 12.4% 8.4% 4.9%
Viktor Wettergren 6.8% 7.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.3% 9.7% 9.7% 11.3% 10.9% 11.5% 8.5% 2.9%
Rolfe Glover 9.3% 11.6% 8.4% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 8.0% 10.5% 6.3% 4.4% 1.8%
Franco Bilik 11.4% 9.6% 11.3% 10.0% 9.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.4% 8.1% 6.1% 4.0% 1.6%
Camille Matile 6.8% 7.5% 9.7% 10.6% 9.5% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 4.6% 2.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.9% 9.9% 10.1% 11.5% 11.0% 9.0% 10.4% 9.6% 7.2% 5.7% 4.3% 1.4%
Ryan Novak-Smith 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 3.6% 4.4% 4.3% 7.0% 10.2% 22.4% 37.6%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 3.8% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 4.4% 4.4% 7.1% 8.5% 11.6% 21.4% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.