Race 3A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sean Beaulieu 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 7.2% 7.2% 11.2% 8.2% 9.9% 12.2% 10.6% 9.7% 5.0%
Hannah Polster 19.7% 18.3% 16.3% 12.2% 9.9% 9.4% 5.7% 4.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 7.6% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 11.2% 10.1% 10.1% 12.3% 8.4% 2.7%
Scott Goodrich 9.0% 9.7% 9.7% 12.1% 11.0% 10.7% 9.5% 8.9% 7.2% 6.6% 4.1% 1.5%
Franco Bilik 9.5% 11.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.6% 9.0% 10.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.8% 4.3% 1.8%
Matt Wordell 3.2% 3.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.3% 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.4% 15.5% 18.1% 16.5%
Ryan Novak-Smith 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.9% 11.4% 17.4% 37.6%
Camille Matile 8.9% 8.0% 8.5% 8.4% 10.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 11.5% 8.7% 5.9% 3.3%
William Crary 13.2% 11.8% 13.0% 13.1% 12.4% 8.5% 8.8% 8.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5%
Rolfe Glover 9.1% 10.1% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 9.7% 10.4% 10.0% 9.0% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.7% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 11.4% 11.0% 9.4% 9.7% 8.8% 6.9% 3.8% 1.1%
Ryan Gershuny 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.3% 10.6% 10.7% 22.0% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.