Race 5A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 20.3% 17.1% 15.6% 13.2% 11.1% 7.7% 6.2% 3.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 5.2% 7.1% 6.5% 8.3% 8.9% 7.8% 9.9% 10.2% 10.1% 12.1% 10.0% 3.9%
Rolfe Glover 9.9% 8.0% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 9.9% 7.4% 4.4% 1.4%
William Crary 10.7% 13.4% 12.8% 10.6% 11.9% 10.8% 8.8% 6.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Scott Goodrich 9.4% 10.7% 9.6% 11.2% 11.1% 8.6% 11.2% 9.3% 6.6% 6.0% 4.9% 1.4%
Camille Matile 7.6% 8.2% 8.0% 7.4% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 11.0% 10.2% 9.8% 7.0% 2.0%
Franco Bilik 11.0% 11.3% 9.9% 12.1% 8.8% 9.9% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 5.4% 3.7% 1.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 12.0% 9.7% 11.2% 8.7% 9.0% 10.9% 10.4% 8.9% 7.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.9%
Viktor Wettergren 5.8% 5.6% 8.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.1% 5.9% 2.6%
Ryan Gershuny 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.7% 7.8% 8.7% 12.5% 19.8% 27.1%
Christopher Dawson 2.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 5.1% 7.2% 9.5% 19.2% 41.4%
Matt Wordell 3.2% 4.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.6% 11.1% 13.3% 19.5% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.