Race 6A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Polster 19.5% 18.5% 16.1% 14.1% 9.8% 7.6% 5.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Rolfe Glover 7.7% 9.9% 11.3% 10.7% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 10.5% 8.5% 7.1% 5.6% 1.6%
Sean Beaulieu 7.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 9.2% 8.9% 10.1% 11.9% 11.6% 9.1% 4.9%
Christopher Dawson 1.0% 2.1% 1.5% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 7.5% 11.4% 17.1% 39.9%
Camille Matile 7.7% 8.1% 7.5% 9.8% 9.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 6.4% 4.4%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.6% 10.1% 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.1% 10.9% 8.1% 6.1% 2.9% 1.9%
Scott Goodrich 10.4% 11.1% 10.9% 10.3% 10.1% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.4%
William Crary 14.4% 12.8% 11.8% 9.7% 10.9% 9.9% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.0%
Matt Wordell 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8% 6.8% 6.6% 7.3% 9.0% 11.4% 14.1% 18.4% 12.4%
Ryan Gershuny 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.5% 5.7% 9.3% 12.0% 20.5% 27.3%
Franco Bilik 10.1% 8.4% 11.4% 9.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.3% 9.9% 7.5% 6.3% 4.4% 1.6%
Viktor Wettergren 6.9% 6.4% 6.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.2% 11.0% 9.2% 9.1% 11.4% 9.0% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.