Race 8A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Goodrich 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.9% 10.8% 8.6% 10.1% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7%
Hannah Polster 17.8% 17.9% 15.6% 12.4% 10.8% 8.8% 7.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
William Crary 12.0% 9.9% 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 11.3% 9.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.8%
Camille Matile 5.6% 6.6% 8.1% 8.8% 9.9% 9.5% 10.7% 8.9% 11.5% 9.1% 8.2% 3.1%
Alexander Tong 16.1% 15.7% 14.8% 10.6% 10.4% 10.7% 7.2% 6.4% 4.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.9% 9.9% 7.2% 10.4% 11.0% 9.9% 10.3% 10.3% 8.4% 7.7% 4.7% 1.3%
Viktor Wettergren 6.4% 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.2% 12.1% 10.1% 13.0% 6.7% 4.6%
Matt Wordell 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 7.0% 7.2% 9.5% 14.0% 21.1% 15.0%
Franco Bilik 9.0% 8.3% 12.1% 11.1% 10.8% 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 9.0% 6.2% 2.5% 1.1%
John Silvestri 8.0% 6.8% 8.4% 9.0% 7.9% 9.5% 10.2% 10.3% 10.9% 9.8% 6.5% 2.7%
Ryan Gershuny 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% 2.7% 3.4% 4.6% 4.0% 6.2% 8.3% 12.2% 23.3% 29.6%
Christopher Dawson 1.1% 2.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 1.5% 3.3% 5.3% 7.7% 13.0% 18.7% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.