Race 10A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Crary 10.9% 10.1% 11.9% 11.0% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 8.5% 7.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Camille Matile 5.7% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 10.2% 8.7% 10.8% 13.0% 12.1% 10.3% 5.3% 0.4%
Alexander Tong 17.4% 12.8% 14.7% 13.4% 11.4% 10.5% 7.8% 6.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Viktor Wettergren 5.3% 6.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.1% 9.6% 12.1% 10.8% 10.6% 12.4% 8.8% 1.1%
Hannah Polster 19.8% 19.8% 12.1% 12.5% 11.7% 8.5% 6.1% 3.7% 3.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 9.2% 9.3% 8.7% 9.6% 12.1% 10.4% 10.9% 9.9% 10.3% 5.8% 3.6% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.3% 8.5% 9.9% 11.4% 9.9% 10.2% 6.5% 2.6% 0.3%
John Silvestri 8.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.7% 9.5% 9.8% 12.0% 10.6% 9.9% 5.5% 0.7%
Scott Goodrich 8.2% 9.9% 12.4% 11.2% 11.4% 10.4% 9.5% 9.7% 8.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Christopher Dawson 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 1.5% 4.0% 3.9% 5.4% 9.0% 15.7% 36.8% 14.0%
Carl Noble 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 1.0% 0.6% 2.5% 3.5% 11.5% 77.6%
Matt Wordell 2.8% 4.4% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 7.1% 5.8% 10.5% 11.9% 21.0% 21.4% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.