Race 11A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Viktor Wettergren 5.1% 6.7% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 9.1% 10.3% 11.4% 14.2% 12.3% 7.2% 0.9%
William Crary 10.2% 13.6% 10.0% 12.2% 10.8% 10.9% 10.3% 9.9% 6.5% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
John Silvestri 8.4% 6.1% 8.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.5% 11.7% 10.2% 13.1% 9.2% 4.5% 1.0%
Hannah Polster 17.9% 17.4% 15.5% 14.7% 11.0% 7.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Tong 16.6% 17.3% 13.2% 11.4% 11.8% 9.3% 7.9% 5.5% 3.7% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Goodrich 9.6% 8.4% 10.0% 10.3% 11.5% 9.8% 10.0% 10.9% 9.3% 7.2% 3.0% 0.0%
Camille Matile 8.3% 7.1% 7.2% 10.2% 8.5% 10.5% 9.9% 10.4% 11.9% 10.3% 5.0% 0.7%
Carl Noble 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 4.0% 12.5% 75.4%
Franco Bilik 9.2% 7.4% 12.7% 12.4% 11.0% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 8.5% 4.9% 2.7% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.7% 9.0% 11.4% 8.6% 9.7% 11.9% 10.4% 10.0% 8.3% 7.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Christopher Dawson 2.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 7.5% 14.2% 40.1% 15.7%
Matt Wordell 2.9% 5.0% 1.4% 3.4% 5.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.3% 11.7% 21.6% 20.3% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.