Race 1B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lindsey Kennett 6.1% 5.3% 4.8% 8.1% 8.4% 8.8% 9.7% 11.5% 11.1% 12.8% 9.2% 4.2%
James Beatty 19.5% 20.2% 15.5% 13.4% 10.8% 6.9% 6.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah Hermus 21.3% 18.6% 15.6% 12.6% 11.1% 9.0% 5.5% 3.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 7.3% 7.7% 11.5% 9.8% 8.0% 12.6% 10.4% 10.0% 8.4% 6.7% 6.0% 1.6%
Sarah De Silva 8.7% 10.9% 10.0% 9.7% 10.3% 11.0% 9.6% 9.8% 7.7% 7.5% 3.0% 1.8%
Joseph Dragon 2.0% 2.7% 2.7% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 9.0% 13.3% 25.9% 20.0%
Molly Pleskus 7.4% 6.7% 9.5% 8.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.0% 6.9% 2.3%
Charlie Blasberg 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 6.4% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 13.0% 11.8% 8.2%
Judas Taylor 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 3.3% 2.2% 4.1% 4.7% 8.3% 17.2% 54.7%
Shannon Killian 6.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 9.9% 7.3% 10.8% 10.4% 12.0% 10.9% 8.9% 3.2%
Benjamin Craig 5.4% 5.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.2% 10.3% 10.4% 11.1% 11.7% 11.3% 7.3% 3.0%
Jackson Hamilton 9.3% 8.5% 10.7% 11.3% 11.5% 9.2% 12.3% 8.1% 9.3% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.