Race 2B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Hermus 19.9% 20.1% 14.8% 12.8% 10.2% 9.1% 4.9% 3.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 8.0% 10.0% 11.5% 9.1% 9.8% 10.4% 10.4% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 3.4% 0.4%
James Beatty 21.9% 18.1% 14.3% 13.6% 11.8% 8.4% 5.6% 3.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Lindsey Kennett 5.1% 5.1% 7.4% 6.8% 9.9% 6.8% 11.5% 11.4% 10.1% 9.0% 12.9% 4.0%
Shannon Killian 5.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.7% 7.1% 9.4% 10.9% 9.4% 11.0% 12.3% 8.6% 4.2%
Jackson Hamilton 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 13.3% 10.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.3% 3.4% 0.6%
Charlie Blasberg 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 7.7% 8.2% 10.2% 11.2% 13.6% 13.4% 5.9%
Molly Pleskus 7.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 7.5% 8.3% 10.6% 11.5% 9.3% 10.6% 6.9% 2.6%
Claire Huebner 7.5% 7.8% 11.3% 11.2% 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 10.1% 8.5% 7.6% 4.4% 0.9%
Judas Taylor 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 5.9% 7.9% 14.6% 56.8%
Joseph Dragon 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 9.6% 13.9% 23.5% 22.7%
Benjamin Craig 6.5% 5.7% 6.9% 8.8% 8.5% 9.3% 10.3% 11.9% 11.9% 9.7% 8.6% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.