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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.91+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-1.43+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.52+2.55vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.88+2.37vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.02-0.44vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston0.27-1.96vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.55-1.55vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.30-5.62vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.13-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Rice University0.9122.8%1st Place
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6.96University of Texas-1.432.5%1st Place
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5.55University of Texas-0.525.4%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University-0.883.6%1st Place
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4.56Northwestern University-0.029.8%1st Place
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4.04Texas A&M University at Galveston0.2713.7%1st Place
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5.45Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.555.9%1st Place
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2.38Texas A&M University1.3033.9%1st Place
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6.73Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.132.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Miller | 22.8% | 24.3% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Herrada | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 33.6% |
| Oliver Fenner | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Polsen | 13.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Macie Bettis | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 8.0% |
| Scott Mather | 33.9% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddy Lee | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.