Race 3B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Beatty 19.9% 17.7% 17.3% 13.7% 9.4% 9.7% 4.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.7% 9.1% 10.5% 10.6% 11.6% 9.6% 10.2% 10.6% 9.0% 6.5% 3.7% 0.9%
Jackson Hamilton 10.1% 8.3% 10.3% 11.3% 10.9% 11.0% 13.0% 9.5% 7.1% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0%
Charlie Blasberg 4.0% 3.6% 6.4% 5.8% 8.8% 7.0% 9.7% 9.9% 11.6% 14.2% 13.8% 5.2%
Shannon Killian 5.2% 7.0% 6.2% 8.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.0% 12.3% 12.0% 11.3% 7.8% 4.4%
Benjamin Craig 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 8.4% 9.1% 11.5% 11.1% 10.4% 9.6% 8.8% 2.8%
Lindsey Kennett 5.4% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 7.3% 9.5% 9.4% 9.5% 12.1% 11.4% 9.5% 3.9%
Claire Huebner 9.3% 9.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 9.1% 8.1% 4.3% 2.0%
Sarah Hermus 22.7% 21.1% 13.6% 12.3% 11.4% 8.1% 5.3% 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 2.8% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 5.5% 5.6% 6.7% 8.0% 13.8% 25.4% 19.6%
Molly Pleskus 6.0% 6.4% 7.3% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 11.4% 10.8% 12.1% 9.5% 7.1% 3.3%
Judas Taylor 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 1.9% 1.6% 3.1% 4.1% 8.0% 17.0% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.