Race 5B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Elise Gehling 7.8% 8.5% 7.1% 9.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.9% 10.6% 9.8% 9.6% 5.4% 1.9%
James Beatty 20.9% 19.4% 16.9% 12.5% 10.2% 7.3% 5.8% 3.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Claire Huebner 8.9% 7.2% 8.7% 10.0% 10.2% 8.7% 11.2% 10.9% 10.8% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6%
Sarah De Silva 8.1% 10.6% 10.4% 10.6% 10.9% 10.9% 10.5% 8.3% 8.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.4%
Lindsey Kennett 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 11.9% 10.1% 10.1% 4.5%
Molly Pleskus 6.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.4% 11.4% 9.6% 11.1% 10.2% 9.2% 8.0% 2.6%
Charlie Blasberg 4.7% 5.3% 6.7% 7.2% 7.2% 6.2% 9.0% 10.8% 11.5% 12.7% 12.9% 5.8%
Joseph Dragon 2.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.3% 7.6% 7.5% 13.6% 22.9% 20.9%
Benjamin Craig 5.6% 7.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.4% 11.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.9% 10.7% 6.4% 2.2%
Judas Taylor 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 15.7% 56.2%
Sarah Hermus 21.4% 18.2% 15.7% 11.1% 12.1% 8.6% 5.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 6.8% 4.6% 6.4% 8.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 10.7% 10.5% 11.8% 9.9% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.