Race 6B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lindsey Kennett 5.6% 5.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.3% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 10.3% 13.0% 9.9% 3.2%
Molly Pleskus 6.0% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.5% 11.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.3% 6.9% 2.0%
James Beatty 21.9% 19.2% 16.6% 11.6% 10.9% 7.3% 6.6% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 6.4% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 10.3% 9.5% 11.1% 10.6% 8.5% 8.1% 5.7% 2.1%
Benjamin Craig 5.8% 8.0% 7.6% 10.1% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 9.5% 11.0% 8.0% 3.5%
Sarah De Silva 9.2% 9.9% 9.5% 10.1% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.6% 5.2% 3.4% 1.4%
Sarah Hermus 23.6% 18.7% 14.9% 13.4% 8.8% 9.2% 4.1% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Judas Taylor 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 1.3% 2.5% 3.4% 2.4% 3.4% 5.4% 7.0% 13.8% 57.1%
Joseph Dragon 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 10.0% 13.8% 23.2% 18.6%
Claire Huebner 8.9% 8.4% 9.9% 9.9% 11.6% 9.0% 10.2% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 4.7% 1.0%
Shannon Killian 5.0% 5.3% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 9.6% 10.3% 11.1% 12.9% 8.8% 4.1%
Charlie Blasberg 4.9% 4.8% 3.7% 7.5% 6.5% 9.0% 7.6% 11.5% 12.3% 10.7% 14.6% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.