Race 7B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jackson Hamilton 11.0% 9.6% 10.9% 10.9% 11.4% 10.3% 10.5% 8.4% 7.2% 5.7% 3.6% 0.5%
Sarah De Silva 9.7% 10.5% 11.0% 10.0% 11.4% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 6.4% 3.2% 0.7%
Claire Huebner 9.6% 8.2% 10.1% 10.7% 7.4% 11.1% 9.9% 9.9% 9.4% 8.5% 4.4% 0.8%
Sam Gates 5.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.5% 9.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 10.8% 3.3%
Lindsey Baab 19.5% 19.2% 14.4% 12.3% 10.8% 8.4% 4.9% 4.6% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 10.6% 10.5% 10.4% 9.9% 7.3% 2.6%
Molly Pleskus 8.4% 8.5% 7.9% 10.4% 7.8% 9.5% 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 6.4% 3.3%
Charles Welsh 15.4% 13.8% 12.4% 10.0% 10.5% 9.1% 9.7% 8.7% 3.8% 3.6% 2.4% 0.6%
Peter Girard 4.1% 5.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.5% 12.6% 12.4% 12.3% 4.5%
Lindsey Kennett 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 7.5% 8.8% 11.2% 11.4% 10.6% 9.4% 3.4%
Joseph Dragon 2.9% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 5.2% 4.5% 4.8% 7.0% 9.5% 13.5% 23.3% 22.1%
Judas Taylor 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 3.9% 7.8% 16.0% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.