Race 8B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jackson Hamilton 10.2% 10.8% 9.6% 12.5% 10.7% 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 8.3% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1%
Peter Girard 3.7% 6.3% 6.0% 6.4% 6.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.4% 12.5% 14.0% 13.1% 5.5%
Benjamin Craig 8.5% 6.6% 7.7% 7.1% 8.7% 8.7% 10.4% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5%
Sarah De Silva 9.8% 10.2% 11.3% 11.5% 10.3% 9.6% 9.8% 8.6% 7.6% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Joseph Dragon 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 2.8% 4.1% 5.8% 8.4% 8.2% 12.5% 24.4% 20.9%
Charles Welsh 14.7% 12.8% 12.1% 10.5% 11.7% 10.6% 8.9% 7.4% 5.1% 3.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Sam Gates 7.0% 6.6% 8.0% 7.1% 8.7% 10.0% 7.9% 10.6% 10.0% 11.2% 9.3% 3.6%
Lindsey Kennett 7.2% 8.4% 5.7% 7.8% 8.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.9% 10.5% 10.1% 4.7%
Molly Pleskus 6.5% 8.4% 10.2% 9.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.7% 10.4% 9.5% 8.5% 5.7% 2.1%
Judas Taylor 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 4.7% 8.1% 16.4% 55.5%
Lindsey Baab 19.7% 17.4% 14.2% 11.9% 11.3% 7.9% 6.7% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Claire Huebner 9.7% 8.0% 10.0% 9.4% 10.0% 10.0% 9.9% 9.6% 9.8% 7.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.