Race 9B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jackson Hamilton 11.2% 10.3% 8.8% 11.5% 11.7% 10.9% 9.6% 9.5% 6.6% 6.0% 3.2% 0.7%
Molly Pleskus 6.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 11.0% 12.1% 8.7% 5.6% 2.3%
Lindsey Baab 21.2% 16.8% 13.8% 12.2% 10.7% 9.6% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Welsh 11.4% 14.9% 14.5% 12.3% 9.7% 10.7% 7.6% 6.9% 6.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.7%
Benjamin Craig 7.1% 8.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 10.4% 10.1% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.0% 3.4%
Sam Gates 7.2% 5.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 9.1% 10.5% 9.9% 12.4% 11.3% 9.4% 3.6%
Sarah De Silva 10.3% 11.5% 11.6% 10.2% 9.7% 8.7% 11.0% 8.9% 7.6% 6.4% 2.6% 1.5%
Peter Girard 6.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.8% 8.4% 9.9% 10.2% 13.2% 13.5% 5.6%
Lindsey Kennett 5.6% 5.9% 9.0% 8.7% 9.1% 8.8% 8.8% 11.9% 9.5% 11.3% 9.2% 2.2%
Claire Huebner 9.3% 9.7% 8.5% 10.4% 10.8% 9.0% 9.5% 10.6% 9.8% 6.7% 4.4% 1.3%
Joseph Dragon 2.7% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 4.9% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 9.0% 14.3% 24.8% 21.4%
Judas Taylor 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 4.7% 6.8% 17.4% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.