Race 10B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lindsey Baab 19.7% 16.4% 17.3% 12.9% 8.7% 9.5% 6.2% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Sam Gates 5.3% 6.6% 7.5% 9.0% 8.8% 8.4% 8.2% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 9.4% 3.4%
Molly Pleskus 8.7% 6.4% 8.4% 7.9% 8.1% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 11.1% 10.2% 6.7% 2.2%
Benjamin Craig 6.5% 7.5% 9.0% 8.7% 8.4% 10.4% 9.7% 8.9% 10.8% 10.6% 7.0% 2.5%
Claire Huebner 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.4% 8.2% 9.7% 9.9% 8.4% 6.9% 5.3% 2.2%
Jackson Hamilton 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 11.0% 9.8% 10.8% 9.4% 6.3% 5.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Peter Girard 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% 9.3% 11.3% 13.2% 11.5% 6.8%
Charles Welsh 15.4% 14.1% 10.5% 11.4% 11.6% 9.5% 8.7% 7.8% 5.2% 3.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Joseph Dragon 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 3.3% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 12.8% 25.2% 18.0%
Lindsey Kennett 6.4% 6.9% 7.5% 8.0% 7.8% 8.0% 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 11.1% 9.3% 3.9%
Sarah De Silva 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 9.5% 11.0% 8.9% 10.0% 10.5% 9.0% 5.0% 4.3% 1.6%
Judas Taylor 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 4.5% 8.3% 15.7% 57.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.