Race 11B

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Molly Pleskus 7.3% 7.8% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 10.1% 11.5% 10.6% 8.6% 7.9% 2.2%
Sarah De Silva 9.2% 12.3% 9.7% 9.5% 10.6% 11.8% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 6.9% 3.2% 0.7%
Peter Girard 5.4% 6.4% 5.0% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 7.6% 10.6% 11.8% 13.5% 14.0% 5.4%
Claire Huebner 8.1% 8.4% 10.9% 9.7% 10.2% 10.3% 10.2% 9.4% 8.8% 7.5% 4.9% 1.6%
Lindsey Kennett 5.4% 8.4% 6.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.5% 9.7% 9.9% 11.3% 10.8% 9.3% 4.3%
Lindsey Baab 21.4% 15.7% 16.6% 11.6% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.6% 2.6% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Welsh 14.5% 12.9% 13.3% 11.2% 12.0% 8.4% 9.2% 7.4% 5.4% 2.9% 1.7% 1.1%
Benjamin Craig 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 7.9% 9.8% 9.5% 8.8% 9.1% 10.7% 7.5% 3.2%
Sam Gates 5.9% 5.6% 7.9% 8.3% 9.7% 9.1% 9.6% 11.1% 11.3% 10.4% 8.5% 2.6%
Jackson Hamilton 11.1% 10.5% 11.6% 12.2% 9.5% 9.2% 10.7% 10.4% 6.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1%
Joseph Dragon 2.8% 1.7% 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 5.1% 4.9% 7.3% 9.7% 14.2% 23.3% 20.9%
Judas Taylor 0.7% 1.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.0% 4.3% 8.1% 16.7% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.