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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.86vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.01vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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5.01California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 49.4% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 11.0% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 26.5% | 17.3% | 5.4% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Oakes | 12.5% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Kendall Sanson | 11.9% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 29.2% | 47.6% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 34.3% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.